AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.

$67.73+118% 1Y

Is it safe?

Watch

One accounting flag to check: a safe balance sheet, but an accounting pattern worth a look (common in fast growers) and heavy debt (BB).

1 good, 3 to watch, 2 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksElevated risk

Several accounting flags in the manipulation-likely range Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality4 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$7.2M

Insiders were net sellers (-$7.2M, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Net cash, but unprofitable, speculative. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk140% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -98% · now 70% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybottom 1% of the market
Max drawdownbottom 2% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can AAOI take a bad year?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. holds $441M more cash than debt, and is burning $220M a quarter, about 0.6 years of cover.

$441M

Net cash · as at Q2 2026 · cash and short-term investments less total debt

Net debt / EBITDA
net cash

Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings

Altman Z-score
7.99

Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3

Cash runway
0.6 years

Cash runway · burning $220M a quarter at the current rate

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$59M
Cash and short-term investments
$500M
Net cash
$441M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
−$32M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$67M
Debt / equity
0.04×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
140%
Worst drawdown on file
−98%
Below its 52-week high
70%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.

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