AAONAAON, Inc.

$68.87-31% 1Y
Latest close: a new 52-week lowOct 23, 2026what changed →

Is it safe?

Flag

Accounting red flags: accounting red flags, quality weak, and big price swings. Everything else is secondary until this clears.

1 good, 2 flagged, 1 to watch, 2 without data
Honest booksElevated risk

Several accounting flags in the manipulation-likely range Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality3 / 9

Weak, deteriorating fundamentals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction+$110K

Insiders were net buyers (+$110K, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026). SEC Form 4 filings: officers and directors must report their own trades within two business days.

Drawdown risk61% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -54% · now 54% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 78% of the market
Max drawdownbetter than 71% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can AAON take a bad year?

The deepest fall in AAON's price history on file is −54%; it is 54% below its high today.

−54%

Worst drawdown on file · −54% today

Annualised volatility
61%

Annualised volatility · S&P 500 16% · about 4 times the market's own swing

Details›
Cash and short-term investments
$13K
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$295M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$213M
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
61%
Worst drawdown on file
−54%
Below its 52-week high
54%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.