ADTNADTRAN Holdings, Inc.

$6.44-32% 1Y

Is it safe?

Flag

Elevated bankruptcy risk: a balance sheet under strain and big price swings. Everything else is secondary until this clears.

2 good, 1 flagged, 1 to watch, 1 neutral, 1 without data
SurvivalDistress zone

Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality5 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction+$50K

Insiders were net buyers (+$50K, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026). SEC Form 4 filings: officers and directors must report their own trades within two business days.

Drawdown risk62% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -82% · now 67% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 80% of the market
Max drawdownbehind 77% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can ADTN take a bad year?

The deepest fall in ADTN's price history on file is −82%; it is 67% below its high today.

0.58

Altman Z-score · distress below 1.8 · safe above 3 · distress zone, the model puts this in the bankruptcy range

Interest cover
none

Interest cover · no operating profit to pay the interest bill from

Annualised volatility
62%

Annualised volatility · S&P 500 16% · about 4 times the market's own swing

Worst drawdown on file
−82%

Worst drawdown on file · −67% today

Details›
Cash and short-term investments
$79M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$63M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$2.0M
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
62%
Worst drawdown on file
−82%
Below its 52-week high
67%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.

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