ANLAdlai Nortye Ltd.
Is it safe?
Caution warranted: heavy debt (CCC) and big price swings.
Debt against weak or negative operating profit. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -94% · now 36% below its 52-week high.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can ANL take a bad year?
Adlai Nortye Ltd. carries $17M of net debt as at FY2025, with no operating profit to service it.
Net debt · as at FY2025 · debt less the cash on hand, with no positive EBITDA to service it
- Cash runway
- 0.3 years
Cash runway · burning $8.4M a quarter at the current rate
- Annualised volatility
- 125%
Annualised volatility · S&P 500 16% · about 8 times the market's own swing
- Worst drawdown on file
- −94%
Worst drawdown on file · −36% today
Details›
- Total debtFY2025
- $25M
- Cash and short-term investments
- $8.1M
- Net debt
- $17M
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- −$35M
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- −$36M
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 125%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −94%
- Below its 52-week high
- 36%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.
How far can it fall?
How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.