ARDXArdelyx, Inc.

$3.06-39% 1Y
Latest close: a new 52-week lowOct 23, 2026what changed →

Is it safe?

Flag

Elevated bankruptcy risk: a balance sheet under strain, quality weak, and heavy debt (BB). Everything else is secondary until this clears.

1 good, 2 flagged, 2 to watch, 1 neutral
SurvivalDistress zone

Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality3 / 9

Weak, deteriorating fundamentals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$486K

Insiders were net sellers (-$486K, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Net cash, but unprofitable, speculative. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk66% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -97% · now 62% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 83% of the market
Max drawdownbottom 4% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can ARDX take a bad year?

Ardelyx, Inc. holds $30M more cash than debt, and is burning $4.5M a quarter, about 15.7 years of cover.

$30M

Net cash · as at Q2 2026 · cash and short-term investments less total debt

Net debt / EBITDA
net cash

Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings

Altman Z-score
-0.03

Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8

Cash runway
5+ years

Cash runway · burning $4.5M a quarter at the current rate

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$252M
Cash and short-term investments
$282M
Net cash
$30M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
−$32M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$35M
Debt / equity
1.69×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
66%
Worst drawdown on file
−97%
Below its 52-week high
62%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.

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