AXTIAXT, Inc.

$52.07+956% 1Y

Is it safe?

Watch

Mixed picture: a safe balance sheet and comfortable debt (AA), but quality weak and big price swings.

2 good, 2 to watch, 2 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksGrey zone

Some accounting flags, worth a closer look Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality2 / 9

Weak, deteriorating fundamentals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$561K

Insiders were net sellers (-$561K, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeAAderived · Jun 30, 2026

Net cash and profitable. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk133% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -92% · now 63% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybottom 1% of the market
Max drawdownbottom 9% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can AXTI take a bad year?

AXT, Inc. holds $317M more cash than debt, and is burning $4.9M a quarter, about 21.3 years of cover.

$317M

Net cash · as at Q2 2026 · cash and short-term investments less total debt

Net debt / EBITDA
net cash

Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings

Altman Z-score
15.19

Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3

Cash runway
5+ years

Cash runway · burning $4.9M a quarter at the current rate

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$100M
Cash and short-term investments
$417M
Net cash
$317M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$13M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$3.9M
Debt / equity
0.11×
Total debt / EBITDA
7.41×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
133%
Worst drawdown on file
−92%
Below its 52-week high
63%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.