BABAAlibaba Group Holding Limited

$99.62-39% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Mostly sound, with a caveat: insiders buying, but big price swings.

1 good, 1 to watch, 4 without data
Insider conviction+$12.1MSEC EDGAR · Oct 22, 2026

Insiders were net buyers (+$12.1M, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026). SEC Form 4 filings: officers and directors must report their own trades within two business days.

Drawdown risk46% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -80% · now 44% below its 52-week high.

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can BABA take a bad year?

The deepest fall in BABA's price history on file is −80%; it is 44% below its high today.

−80%

Worst drawdown on file · −44% today

Interest cover
5.12×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over

Annualised volatility
46%

Annualised volatility · S&P 500 16% · about 3 times the market's own swing

Details›
Cash and short-term investments
$286.8B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$85.1B
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$50.1B
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
46%
Worst drawdown on file
−80%
Below its 52-week high
44%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.