BHPBHP Group Limited
Is the price fair?
Growth expectations in line with delivery. That is the only one of 3 checks this filer's data supports, so take it as a single data point rather than a settled answer.
Priced for ~3% a year FCF growth. Roughly in line with its three-year revenue growth of 3% a year.
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What BHP's price assumes
BHP Group Limited trades at 40.3× earnings against 20.6× for the median Basic Materials name, more expensive than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Basic Materials median 20.6 · 1.96× the median: the market pays up for this one
- Free cash flow yield
- 6.0%
Free cash flow yield · Basic Materials median 4.9%
- Growth the price implies
- +3.2%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +3.2% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered −0.11% a year over the last three.
Details›
- Basic Materials median P/E202 names
- 20.6
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $11.9B
- Market capitalisation2.54 billion shares, counted Jun 30, 2026
- $197.8B
- 3-year revenue growth
- +3.0%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- −0.11%
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.
What is it worth?
Today's price against what its own multiples, its cash flow and your growth assumption say it is worth.
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Ranks #3 of 22 by RyuScore