CATCaterpillar Inc.
Is the price fair?
A demanding price: priced for +11% a year vs +5% a year delivered, at the top of its own P/E range, and rich vs its sector.
Priced for ~11% a year FCF growth. The price demands more than its three-year revenue growth of 5% a year, priced for acceleration.
Expensive vs its own history: P/E 29.6 vs a 17.6 median over 38 quarters (+68% vs median).
Sector median 21.2× across 246 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.
Unless marked, from derived, as of Jun 30, 2026.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What CAT's price assumes
Caterpillar Inc. trades at 29.6× earnings against 24.4× for the median Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery name, more expensive than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median 24.4 · 1.21× the median: the market pays up for this one
- Price / sales
- 4.23
Price / sales · today's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- Free cash flow yield
- 3.4%
Free cash flow yield · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median 4.7%
- Growth the price implies
- +11%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +11% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered +7.3% a year over the last three.
Details›
- Price / booktoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 16.3
- EV / EBITtoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 26.1
- EV / salestoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 4.58
- Industrials median P/E434 names
- 26.2
- Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median P/E18 names
- 24.4
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $10.7B
- Market capitalisation459.7 million shares, counted Jun 30, 2026
- $315.8B
- 3-year revenue growth
- +4.9%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- +7.3%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| Its own P/E history, lower quartile | $340.90 |
| Its own P/E history, median | $407.97 |
| Its own P/E history, upper quartile | $630.28 |
| 52-week range | $511.74 – $1,058.81 |
| Today | $687.07 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.
What is it worth?
Today's price against what its own multiples, its cash flow and your growth assumption say it is worth.
Against its own past
Its multiples now against their own history, and how much of the price move came from earnings rather than the multiple.
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
The closest names by size in the same industry