CHDNChurchill Downs Incorporated

$83.80-3.0% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Solid, nothing alarming: heavy debt (BB).

1 to watch, 2 neutral, 3 without data
SurvivalGrey zoneSEC EDGAR · Dec 31, 2025

Mixed, watch the balance sheet Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Credit gradeBBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Moderately leveraged. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk33% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -63% · now 29% below its 52-week high.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybetter than 67% of the market
Max drawdownmiddle of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can CHDN take a bad year?

Churchill Downs Incorporated carries $4.58B of net debt at 4.80× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.

$4.58B

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy

Net debt / EBITDA
4.80×

Net debt / EBITDA · 5.16× a year ago · the load is coming down

Altman Z-score
1.38

Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8

Interest cover
2.46×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill, with room to spare

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$4.77B
Cash and short-term investments
$196M
Net debt
$4.58B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$953M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$722M
Debt / equity
3.56×
Total debt / EBITDA
5.01×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
33%
Worst drawdown on file
−63%
Below its 52-week high
29%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.