CLMTCalumet, Inc.

$49.34+160% 1Y

Is it safe?

Flag

Elevated bankruptcy risk: a balance sheet under strain, heavy debt (CCC), and big price swings. Everything else is secondary until this clears.

1 good, 1 flagged, 2 to watch, 2 neutral
SurvivalDistress zone

Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality6 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction+$0

No notable insider trading in the 90 days ending 2026-10-22. SEC Form 4 filings: officers and directors must report their own trades within two business days.

Credit gradeCCCderived · Jun 30, 2026

Highly leveraged, watch solvency. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk55% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -90% · now 16% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 72% of the market
Max drawdownbehind 88% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can CLMT take a bad year?

Calumet, Inc. carries $2.15B of net debt at 9.37× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.

$2.15B

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy

Net debt / EBITDA
9.37×

Net debt / EBITDA · 359× a year ago · the load is coming down

Altman Z-score
1.62

Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8

Interest cover
0.23×

Interest cover · operating profit does not cover the interest bill

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$2.26B
Cash and short-term investments
$110M
Net debt
$2.15B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$229M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$47M
Total debt / EBITDA
9.85×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
55%
Worst drawdown on file
−90%
Below its 52-week high
16%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.