CMGChipotle Mexican Grill
Is the price fair?
The yardsticks disagree: cheap against its own 5-year P/E range (0th percentile) but the cash-flow math implies demanding growth. Treat as fair, not cheap.
Priced for ~7% a year FCF growth. Roughly in line with its three-year revenue growth of 10% a year.
Cheap vs its own history: P/E 25.3 vs a 60.2 median over 40 quarters (−58% vs median).
Sector median 15.0× across 156 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.
Unless marked, from derived, as of Jun 30, 2026.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What CMG's price assumes
Chipotle Mexican Grill trades at 25.3× earnings against 28.5× for the median Restaurants name, cheaper than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Restaurants median 28.5 · cheaper than the typical name in its group
- Price / sales
- 2.80
Price / sales · today's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- Free cash flow yield
- 4.5%
Free cash flow yield · Restaurants median 4.5%
- Growth the price implies
- +7.0%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +7.0% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered +7.8% a year over the last three.
Details›
- Price / booktoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 15.8
- EV / EBITtoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 18.6
- EV / salestoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 2.72
- Consumer Cyclical median P/E317 names
- 18.0
- Restaurants median P/E30 names
- 28.5
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $1.57B
- Market capitalisation1.27 billion shares, counted Jul 24, 2026
- $34.8B
- 3-year revenue growth
- +10%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- +7.8%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| What its own history would imply | not meaningful, 25.3× today against a 60.2× median |
| 52-week range | $27.52 – $42.36 |
| Today | $27.52 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.
What is it worth?
Today's price against what its own multiples, its cash flow and your growth assumption say it is worth.
Against its own past
Its multiples now against their own history, and how much of the price move came from earnings rather than the multiple.
Restaurants
The closest names by size in the same industry