CRNCCerence Inc.
Is it safe?
Nothing alarming, nothing pristine: insiders quiet, comfortable debt (BBB), and big price swings.
Insiders were net sellers (-$3.2M, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026), selling is often routine.
Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -98% · now 36% below its 52-week high.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can CRNC take a bad year?
Cerence Inc. carries $173M of net debt at 4.71× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.
Net debt · as at Q3 2026 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.71×
Net debt / EBITDA
- Interest cover
- 4.28×
Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill, with room to spare
- Annualised volatility
- 154%
Annualised volatility · S&P 500 16% · about 9 times the market's own swing
Details›
- Total debtQ3 2026
- $173M
- Cash and short-term investments
- $0
- Net debt
- $173M
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- $37M
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- $27M
- Debt / equity
- 1.04×
- Total debt / EBITDA
- 4.71×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 154%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −98%
- Below its 52-week high
- 36%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.
The balance sheet
What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.
How far can it fall?
How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.
Software, Application
Ranks #43 of 92 by RyuScore