DLTRDollar Tree

$125.31+33% 1Y

Is it safe?

Good

Strong, no red flags: a safe balance sheet.

1 good, 3 neutral, 2 without data
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Insider conviction-$471K

Insiders were net sellers (-$471K, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeAderived · Aug 1, 2026

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk42% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -65% · now 11% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Jan 31, 2026.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitymiddle of the market
Max drawdownmiddle of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can DLTR take a bad year?

Dollar Tree carries $1.88B of net debt as at Q2 2026.

$1.88B

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · debt less the cash on hand

Altman Z-score
3.71

Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3

Debt / equity
0.86×

Debt / equity

Annualised volatility
42%

Annualised volatility · S&P 500 16% · about 3 times the market's own swing

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$2.93B
Cash and short-term investments
$1.06B
Net debt
$1.88B
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$2.20B
Debt / equity
0.86×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
42%
Worst drawdown on file
−65%
Below its 52-week high
11%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.