ECEcopetrol S.A.

$17.82+108% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Nothing alarming, nothing pristine: comfortable debt (BBB) and typical volatility.

2 neutral, 4 without data
Credit gradeBBBderived · Dec 31, 2023

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk38% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -73% · now 2% below its 52-week high.

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can EC take a bad year?

Ecopetrol S.A. carries $107.17T of net debt as at Q4 2023.

$107.17T

Net debt · as at Q4 2023 · debt less the cash on hand

Debt / equity
1.60×

Debt / equity

Annualised volatility
38%

Annualised volatility · S&P 500 16% · roughly twice as jumpy as the market

Worst drawdown on file
−73%

Worst drawdown on file · −2.4% today

Details›
Total debtQ4 2023
$121.37T
Cash and short-term investments
$14.20T
Net debt
$107.17T
Debt / equity
1.60×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
38%
Worst drawdown on file
−73%
Below its 52-week high
2.4%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.