EYENational Vision Holdings, Inc.
Is the price fair?
The yardsticks disagree: cheap against its own 5-year P/E range (8th percentile) but the cash-flow math implies demanding growth. Treat as fair, not cheap.
Priced for ~11% a year FCF growth. Roughly in line with its three-year revenue growth of 11% a year.
Cheap vs its own history: P/E 30.6 vs a 55.1 median over 24 quarters (−44% vs median).
Sector median 15.0× across 156 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.
Unless marked, from derived, as of Jul 4, 2026.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What EYE's price assumes
National Vision Holdings, Inc. trades at 30.6× earnings against 22.8× for the median Specialty Retail name, more expensive than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Specialty Retail median 22.8 · 1.34× the median: the market pays up for this one
- Price / sales
- 0.73
Price / sales · today's price, trailing year to Jul 4, 2026
- Free cash flow yield
- 3.3%
Free cash flow yield · Specialty Retail median 5.5%
- Growth the price implies
- +11%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +11% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered +16% a year over the last three.
Details›
- Price / booktoday's price, trailing year to Jul 4, 2026
- 1.65
- EV / EBITtoday's price, trailing year to Jul 4, 2026
- 20.2
- EV / salestoday's price, trailing year to Jul 4, 2026
- 0.82
- Consumer Cyclical median P/E317 names
- 18.0
- Specialty Retail median P/E25 names
- 22.8
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $49M
- Market capitalisation79.1 million shares, counted Jul 31, 2026
- $1.48B
- 3-year revenue growth
- +11%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- +16%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| Its own P/E history, lower quartile | $24.23 |
| Its own P/E history, median | $33.63 |
| Its own P/E history, upper quartile | $48.47 |
| 52-week range | $15.44 – $29.46 |
| Today | $18.67 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.
What is it worth?
Today's price against what its own multiples, its cash flow and your growth assumption say it is worth.
Against its own past
Its multiples now against their own history, and how much of the price move came from earnings rather than the multiple.