HAYWHayward Holdings, Inc.

$12.65-17% 1Y

Is it safe?

Good

Strong, no red flags: a safe balance sheet, clean books, and quality strong.

3 good, 3 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality7 / 9

High fundamental quality Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$2.2M

Insiders were net sellers (-$2.2M, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeAderived · Jun 27, 2026

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk33% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -70% · now 27% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybetter than 67% of the market
Max drawdownmiddle of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can HAYW take a bad year?

Hayward Holdings, Inc. carries $473M of net debt at 1.74× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$473M

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · under two and a half years of EBITDA, comfortable

Net debt / EBITDA
1.74×

Net debt / EBITDA · 2.47× a year ago · the load is coming down

Altman Z-score
2.25

Altman Z-score · grey zone, between 1.8 and 3

Debt / equity
0.60×

Debt / equity

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$956M
Cash and short-term investments
$483M
Net debt
$473M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$271M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$247M
Debt / equity
0.60×
Total debt / EBITDA
3.52×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
33%
Worst drawdown on file
−70%
Below its 52-week high
27%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.