HPKHighPeak Energy, Inc.
Is the price fair?
Neither cheap nor expensive: modest expectations priced in, but at the top of its own P/E range.
Priced for a decline (~−18% a year). Little growth is priced in even as revenue fell 1% a year over three years, potential value, or a value trap.
Expensive vs its own history: P/E 39.5 vs a 12.1 median over 16 quarters (+227% vs median).
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What HPK's price assumes
Today's price asks for −18% free cash flow growth a year; over the last three years HighPeak Energy, Inc. delivered −18%, so the price asks for less than the record.
Price / sales · no P/E: the last twelve months did not end in a profit
- Free cash flow yield
- 27%
Free cash flow yield · Oil & Gas E&P median 12%
- Growth the price implies
- −18%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for −18% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered −18% a year over the last three.
- Price / book
- 0.57
Price / book · as of 2026-Q2
Details›
- Price / bookas of 2026-Q2
- 0.57
- EV / EBITas of 2026-Q2
- 14.5
- EV / salesas of 2026-Q2
- 2.15
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $388M
- Market capitalisation126.5 million shares, counted Aug 6, 2026
- $1.46B
- 3-year revenue growth
- −1.2%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- −18%
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.
What is it worth?
Today's price against what its own multiples, its cash flow and your growth assumption say it is worth.
Against its own past
Its multiples now against their own history, and how much of the price move came from earnings rather than the multiple.