JCIJohnson Controls

$143.90+32% 1Y

Is the price fair?

Fair

Neither cheap nor expensive: nothing decisive, though priced for +10% a year vs +4% a year delivered.

1 to watch, 1 neutral, 1 without data
What the price assumes~+10% a yearderived · Jun 30, 2026

Priced for ~10% a year FCF growth. The price demands more than its three-year revenue growth of 4% a year, priced for acceleration.

Vs its own P/E rangemid-range for this companyderived

In its normal range: P/E 25.3 vs a 23.1 median over 36 quarters (+9% vs median).

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

P/E (valuation)middle of the market
FCF yieldbehind 67% of the market

Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.

What JCI's price assumes

Johnson Controls trades at 25.3× earnings against 24.9× for the median Building Products & Equipment name, more expensive than its own group.

25.3

Trailing P/E · Building Products & Equipment median 24.9 · 1.02× the median: the market pays up for this one

Price / sales
3.49

Price / sales · today's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026

Free cash flow yield
3.6%

Free cash flow yield · Building Products & Equipment median 6.3%

Growth the price implies
+9.9%

Growth the price implies · The price pays for +9.9% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered +56% a year over the last three.

Details›
Price / booktoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
6.47
EV / salestoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
3.84
Industrials median P/E434 names
26.2
Building Products & Equipment median P/E25 names
24.9
Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
$3.17B
Market capitalisation605.7 million shares, counted Jun 30, 2026
$87.2B
3-year revenue growth
+4.4%
3-year free cash flow growth
+56%
What the market has paid for these earnings: 36 quarters of its own multiple × $5.69 of trailing earnings per share
MethodPer share
Its own P/E history, lower quartile$96.12
Its own P/E history, median$131.70
Its own P/E history, upper quartile$169.79
52-week range$107.91 – $158.77
Today$143.90

Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.

What is it worth?

Today's price against what its own multiples, its cash flow and your growth assumption say it is worth.

Against its own past

Its multiples now against their own history, and how much of the price move came from earnings rather than the multiple.