LITELumentum

$759.34+365% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Solid, nothing alarming: a safe balance sheet, but big price swings.

1 good, 1 to watch, 3 neutral, 1 without data
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Quality5 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$90.5M

Insiders were net sellers (-$90.5M, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeAderived · Jun 27, 2026

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk84% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -67% · now 33% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Jun 27, 2026.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybottom 9% of the market
Max drawdownmiddle of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can LITE take a bad year?

Lumentum carries $496M of net debt at 0.76× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$496M

Net debt · as at Q4 2026 · under two and a half years of EBITDA, comfortable

Net debt / EBITDA
0.76×

Net debt / EBITDA

Altman Z-score
14.77

Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3

Interest cover
24.1×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over

Details›
Total debtQ4 2026
$3.23B
Cash and short-term investments
$2.74B
Net debt
$496M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$654M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$525M
Debt / equity
0.70×
Total debt / EBITDA
4.95×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
84%
Worst drawdown on file
−67%
Below its 52-week high
33%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.