MATMattel, Inc.
Is the price fair?
Neither cheap nor expensive: nothing decisive, though modest expectations priced in.
Priced for a decline (~−5% a year). The price demands less than its three-year revenue growth of 3% a year, expectations look modest.
In its normal range: P/E 12.1 vs a 17.1 median over 28 quarters (−29% vs median).
Sector median 15.0× across 156 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.
Unless marked, from derived, as of Jun 30, 2026.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What MAT's price assumes
Mattel, Inc. trades at 12.1× earnings against 21.9× for the median Leisure name, cheaper than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Leisure median 21.9 · cheaper than the typical name in its group
- Price / sales
- 0.85
Price / sales · today's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- Free cash flow yield
- 11%
Free cash flow yield · Leisure median 7.3%
- Growth the price implies
- −4.9%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for −4.9% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered +5.3% a year over the last three.
Details›
- Price / booktoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 2.35
- EV / EBITtoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 15.1
- EV / salestoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 1.18
- Consumer Cyclical median P/E317 names
- 18.0
- Leisure median P/E17 names
- 21.9
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $513M
- Market capitalisation285.7 million shares, counted Jul 24, 2026
- $4.69B
- 3-year revenue growth
- +2.8%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- +5.3%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| Its own P/E history, lower quartile | $15.41 |
| Its own P/E history, median | $23.28 |
| Its own P/E history, upper quartile | $40.01 |
| 52-week range | $12.64 – $22.16 |
| Today | $16.41 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.
What is it worth?
Today's price against what its own multiples, its cash flow and your growth assumption say it is worth.
Against its own past
Its multiples now against their own history, and how much of the price move came from earnings rather than the multiple.