MPMP Materials Corp.

$38.42-54% 1Y
Latest close: a new 52-week lowOct 23, 2026what changed →

Is it safe?

Mixed

Forensics clean, with a caveat: a safe balance sheet, but heavy debt (BB) and big price swings.

1 good, 2 to watch, 3 without data
SurvivalSafe zoneSEC EDGAR · Dec 31, 2025

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Credit gradeBBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Net cash, but unprofitable, speculative. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk83% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -82% · now 54% below its 52-week high.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybottom 9% of the market
Max drawdownbehind 77% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can MP take a bad year?

MP Materials Corp. holds $518M more cash than debt, and is burning $126M a quarter, about 2.9 years of cover.

$518M

Net cash · as at Q2 2026 · cash and short-term investments less total debt

Net debt / EBITDA
net cash

Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings

Altman Z-score
2.77

Altman Z-score · grey zone, between 1.8 and 3

Cash runway
2.9 years

Cash runway · burning $126M a quarter at the current rate

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$935M
Cash and short-term investments
$1.45B
Net cash
$518M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
−$12M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$127M
Debt / equity
0.48×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
83%
Worst drawdown on file
−82%
Below its 52-week high
54%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.

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