MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp.

$388.58+78% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Forensics clean, with a caveat: a safe balance sheet, but heavy debt (B).

1 good, 1 to watch, 2 neutral, 2 without data
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Insider conviction-$247K

Insiders were net sellers (-$247K, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Highly leveraged, watch solvency. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk27% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -42% · now 7% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Jun 30, 2026.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybetter than 84% of the market
Max drawdownbetter than 89% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can MSGS take a bad year?

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. carries $94M of net debt at 2.93× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$94M

Net debt · as at Q4 2026 · between two and four years of EBITDA, normal for a stable business

Net debt / EBITDA
2.93×

Net debt / EBITDA · 8.12× a year ago · the load is coming down

Altman Z-score
3.56

Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3

Interest cover
1.37×

Interest cover · operating profit barely covers the interest bill

Details›
Total debtQ4 2026
$259M
Cash and short-term investments
$165M
Net debt
$94M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$32M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$29M
Total debt / EBITDA
8.07×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
27%
Worst drawdown on file
−42%
Below its 52-week high
6.7%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.