MTDRMatador Resources Company

$59.95+43% 1Y

Is it safe?

Good

Strong, no red flags: a safe balance sheet, clean books, and insiders buying.

3 good, 3 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality4 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction+$1.2M

Multiple insiders bought with their own money (net +$1.2M, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026).

Credit gradeAderived · Jun 30, 2026

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk45% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -96% · now 8% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitymiddle of the market
Max drawdownbottom 4% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can MTDR take a bad year?

Matador Resources Company carries $4.19B of net debt at 1.75× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$4.19B

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · under two and a half years of EBITDA, comfortable

Net debt / EBITDA
1.75×

Net debt / EBITDA · 1.28× a year ago · the load is going up

Altman Z-score
1.80

Altman Z-score · grey zone, between 1.8 and 3

Interest cover
5.38×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$4.22B
Cash and short-term investments
$26M
Net debt
$4.19B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$2.39B
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$1.17B
Debt / equity
0.71×
Total debt / EBITDA
1.76×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
45%
Worst drawdown on file
−97%
Below its 52-week high
7.8%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.

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