PTONPeloton Interactive, Inc.

$5.38-28% 1Y

Is it safe?

Flag

Elevated bankruptcy risk: a balance sheet under strain, heavy debt (B), and big price swings. Everything else is secondary until this clears.

2 good, 1 flagged, 2 to watch, 1 neutral
SurvivalDistress zone

Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality8 / 9

High fundamental quality Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$1.2M

Insiders were net sellers (-$1.2M, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Highly leveraged, watch solvency. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk72% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -98% · now 32% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Jun 30, 2026.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 87% of the market
Max drawdownbottom 2% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can PTON take a bad year?

Peloton Interactive, Inc. carries $123M of net debt at 0.57× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$123M

Net debt · as at Q4 2026 · under two and a half years of EBITDA, comfortable

Net debt / EBITDA
0.57×

Net debt / EBITDA · 9.34× a year ago · the load is coming down

Altman Z-score
-1.12

Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8

Interest cover
1.30×

Interest cover · operating profit barely covers the interest bill

Details›
Total debtQ4 2026
$1.33B
Cash and short-term investments
$1.21B
Net debt
$123M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$218M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$161M
Total debt / EBITDA
6.10×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
72%
Worst drawdown on file
−98%
Below its 52-week high
32%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.