PZZAPapa John's International, Inc.

$18.10-65% 1Y
Latest close: a new 52-week lowOct 23, 2026what changed →

Is it safe?

Mixed

Solid, nothing alarming: big price swings.

1 to watch, 2 neutral, 3 without data
SurvivalGrey zoneSEC EDGAR · Dec 28, 2025

Mixed, watch the balance sheet Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Credit gradeBBBderived · Jun 28, 2026

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk53% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -85% · now 66% below its 52-week high.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 70% of the market
Max drawdownbehind 82% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can PZZA take a bad year?

Papa John's International, Inc. carries $699M of net debt at 3.96× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$699M

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · between two and four years of EBITDA, normal for a stable business

Net debt / EBITDA
3.96×

Net debt / EBITDA · 3.23× a year ago · the load is going up

Altman Z-score
3.36

Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3

Annualised volatility
53%

Annualised volatility · S&P 500 16% · about 3 times the market's own swing

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$727M
Cash and short-term investments
$28M
Net debt
$699M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$177M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$85M
Total debt / EBITDA
4.12×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
53%
Worst drawdown on file
−85%
Below its 52-week high
66%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.

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