TACTransAlta Corporation

$12.23-28% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Nothing alarming, nothing pristine: heavy debt (BB) and typical volatility.

1 to watch, 1 neutral, 4 without data
Credit gradeBBderived · Dec 31, 2025

Moderately leveraged. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk43% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -55% · now 31% below its 52-week high.

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can TAC take a bad year?

TransAlta Corporation carries $3.56B of net debt at 4.95× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.

$3.56B

Net debt · as at FY2025 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy

Net debt / EBITDA
4.95×

Net debt / EBITDA · 3.62× a year ago · the load is going up

Interest cover
0.40×

Interest cover · operating profit does not cover the interest bill

Annualised volatility
43%

Annualised volatility · S&P 500 16% · about 3 times the market's own swing

Details›
Total debtFY2025
$3.76B
Cash and short-term investments
$205M
Net debt
$3.56B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$719M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$140M
Debt / equity
2.69×
Total debt / EBITDA
5.23×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
43%
Worst drawdown on file
−55%
Below its 52-week high
31%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.