iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is −8.3% over the past year while the S&P 500 is +16%: 24 points behind the market. 1-year return: −8.3% (S&P 500 +16%). vs 200-day average: −3.6%, below trend, but not far. RSI (14): 82, overbought, bought harder than it has been sold. Below its 52-week high: 9.2%.

TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

$81.29-8.3% 1Y

$81.29

$77.0952 weeks$89.48

What is the market doing?

Mixed

Rangebound. That is the only one of 3 checks this filer's data supports, so take it as a single data point rather than a settled answer.

1 neutral, 2 without data

TrendRangeboundderived · Oct 23, 2026

Rangebound, no clear trend. Overbought (RSI 82). Price is −4% vs its 200-day average.

Where this answer is blind. Insider selling is often routine (taxes, diversification); only cluster buying is a strong tell.

How TLT is trading

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is −8.3% over the past year while the S&P 500 is +16%: 24 points behind the market.

−8.3%

1-year return · S&P 500 +16%

vs 200-day average: −3.6%
vs 200-day average · below trend, but not far
RSI (14): 82
RSI (14) · overbought, bought harder than it has been sold
Below its 52-week high: 9.2%
Below its 52-week high

Oct 15, 2024$77.09 – $89.48 · dashed line: 200-day averageOct 23, 2026

Details›

Last close2026-10-23: $81.29
1 monthS&P 500 −0.94%: +2.7%
1 yearS&P 500 +16%: −8.3%
5 yearsS&P 500 +86%: −32%
vs 50-day average$80.53: +0.95%
52-week high: $89.48
52-week low: $77.09
Annualised volatility: 12%

Calendar-year price return
Year	Return
2026 (year to date)	−5.0%
2025	+4.2%
2024	−8.1%
2023	+2.8%
2022	−31%
2021	−4.6%
2020	+18%
2019	+14%
2018	−1.6%
2017	+9.2%

Average return by calendar month, 2016–2026
Month	Years	Positive	Average
Jan	10	5 of 10	+0.39%
Feb	10	4 of 10	−0.03%
Mar	10	5 of 10	+0.37%
Apr	10	4 of 10	−1.7%
May	10	6 of 10	+0.39%
Jun	10	9 of 10	+1.2%
Jul	11	6 of 11	+0.77%
Aug	11	5 of 11	+0.15%
Sep	11	3 of 11	−2.5%
Oct	11	3 of 11	−1.8%
Nov	10	8 of 10	+1.8%
Dec	10	3 of 10	−0.22%