VVVValvoline Inc.

$31.61-8.6% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Forensics clean, with a caveat: a safe balance sheet and clean books, but heavy debt (B).

2 good, 1 to watch, 3 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality6 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$75K

Insiders were net sellers (-$75K, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Highly leveraged, watch solvency. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk32% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -62% · now 22% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Sep 30, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybetter than 69% of the market
Max drawdownmiddle of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can VVV take a bad year?

Valvoline Inc. carries $1.52B of net debt as at Q3 2026.

$1.52B

Net debt · as at Q3 2026 · debt less the cash on hand

Altman Z-score
2.26

Altman Z-score · grey zone, between 1.8 and 3

Debt / equity
3.84×

Debt / equity

Annualised volatility
32%

Annualised volatility · S&P 500 16% · roughly twice as jumpy as the market

Details›
Total debtQ3 2026
$1.60B
Cash and short-term investments
$84M
Net debt
$1.52B
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$301M
Debt / equity
3.84×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
32%
Worst drawdown on file
−62%
Below its 52-week high
22%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.

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