APLDApplied Digital Corporation

$18.34-50% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Forensics clean, with a caveat: a safe balance sheet and insiders buying, but heavy debt (CCC) and big price swings.

2 good, 2 to watch, 2 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksGrey zone

In the flagged range only because sales grew fast; the other indices are not Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality4 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction+$3.6M

Insiders were net buyers (+$3.6M, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026). SEC Form 4 filings: officers and directors must report their own trades within two business days.

Credit gradeCCCderived · Aug 31, 2026

Debt against weak or negative operating profit. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk115% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -82% · now 63% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of May 31, 2026.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybottom 2% of the market
Max drawdownbehind 77% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can APLD take a bad year?

Applied Digital Corporation carries $3.43B of net debt as at Q1 2027, with no operating profit to service it.

$3.43B

Net debt · as at Q1 2027 · debt less the cash on hand, with no positive EBITDA to service it

Altman Z-score
0.72

Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8

Cash runway
0.7 years

Cash runway · burning $1.11B a quarter at the current rate

Annualised volatility
115%

Annualised volatility · S&P 500 16% · about 7 times the market's own swing

Details›
Total debtQ1 2027
$6.38B
Cash and short-term investments
$2.95B
Net debt
$3.43B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
−$199M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$304M
Debt / equity
3.98×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
115%
Worst drawdown on file
−82%
Below its 52-week high
63%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.

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