FICOFair Isaac

$814.78-50% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Forensics clean, with a caveat: a safe balance sheet and clean books, but big price swings.

3 good, 1 to watch, 2 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality7 / 9

High fundamental quality Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$1.4M

Insiders were net sellers (-$1.4M, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBBBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk56% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -75% · now 56% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Sep 30, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 73% of the market
Max drawdownmiddle of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can FICO take a bad year?

Fair Isaac carries $5.33B of net debt at 4.27× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.

$5.33B

Net debt · as at Q3 2026 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy

Net debt / EBITDA
4.27×

Net debt / EBITDA · 2.89× a year ago · the load is going up

Altman Z-score
8.94

Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3

Interest cover
6.63×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over

Details›
Total debtQ3 2026
$5.58B
Cash and short-term investments
$248M
Net debt
$5.33B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$1.25B
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$1.24B
Total debt / EBITDA
4.47×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
56%
Worst drawdown on file
−75%
Below its 52-week high
56%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.