HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc.
Is the price fair?
A demanding price: priced for +43% a year vs +1% a year delivered and well above its own median P/E.
Priced for ~43% a year FCF growth. The price already bakes in strong, sustained growth.
Expensive vs its own history: P/E 20.7 vs a 8.9 median over 18 quarters (+133% vs median).
Sector median 17.6× across 53 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.
Unless marked, from derived, as of Jun 30, 2026.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What HCC's price assumes
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. trades at 20.7× earnings against 20.6× for the median Basic Materials name, more expensive than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Basic Materials median 20.6 · 1.00× the median: the market pays up for this one
- Price / sales
- 2.69
Price / sales · today's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- Free cash flow yield
- 0.34%
Free cash flow yield · Basic Materials median 4.9%
- Growth the price implies
- +43%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +43% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered −67% a year over the last three.
Details›
- Price / booktoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 1.98
- EV / EBITtoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 19.0
- EV / salestoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 2.59
- Basic Materials median P/E202 names
- 20.6
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $15M
- Market capitalisation52.8 million shares, counted Aug 3, 2026
- $4.53B
- 3-year revenue growth
- +1.1%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- −67%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| What its own history would imply | not meaningful, 20.7× today against a 8.88× median |
| 52-week range | $62.19 – $110.28 |
| Today | $85.77 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.
What is it worth?
Today's price against what its own multiples, its cash flow and your growth assumption say it is worth.
Against its own past
Its multiples now against their own history, and how much of the price move came from earnings rather than the multiple.