HLMNHillman Solutions Corp.

$7.20-24% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Solid, nothing alarming. Balance sheet to watch.

4 neutral, 2 without data
SurvivalGrey zone

Mixed, watch the balance sheet Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Insider conviction-$143

Insiders were net sellers (-$143, 90 days to Oct 22, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeAderived · Jun 27, 2026

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk40% volderived · Oct 23, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -51% · now 33% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 27, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitymiddle of the market
Max drawdownbetter than 75% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can HLMN take a bad year?

Hillman Solutions Corp. carries $658M of net debt at 2.90× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$658M

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · between two and four years of EBITDA, normal for a stable business

Net debt / EBITDA
2.90×

Net debt / EBITDA · 3.34× a year ago · the load is coming down

Altman Z-score
1.66

Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8

Debt / equity
0.57×

Debt / equity

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$693M
Cash and short-term investments
$36M
Net debt
$658M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$227M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$111M
Debt / equity
0.57×
Total debt / EBITDA
3.06×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
40%
Worst drawdown on file
−51%
Below its 52-week high
33%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

The balance sheet

What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.

How far can it fall?

How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.