WMGWarner Music Group Corp.
Is it safe?
Elevated bankruptcy risk: a balance sheet under strain. Everything else is secondary until this clears.
Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.
Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).
Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -54% · now 11% below its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Sep 30, 2025.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can WMG take a bad year?
Warner Music Group Corp. carries $4.09B of net debt at 3.23× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.
Net debt · as at Q3 2026 · between two and four years of EBITDA, normal for a stable business
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.23×
Net debt / EBITDA · 3.84× a year ago · the load is coming down
- Altman Z-score
- 1.62
Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8
- Interest cover
- 5.52×
Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over
Details›
- Total debtQ3 2026
- $4.71B
- Cash and short-term investments
- $618M
- Net debt
- $4.09B
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- $1.27B
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- $1.00B
- Debt / equity
- 5.51×
- Total debt / EBITDA
- 3.72×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 32%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −54%
- Below its 52-week high
- 11%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.
The balance sheet
What it owes against what it owns, and how close that comes to trouble.
How far can it fall?
How much the price moves, how deep and how long its falls have run, and what each unit of risk has paid.